31337 @ 31337 @sh.itjust.works

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15

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570

Joined

2 yr. ago

I think the analysis I've seen showed supply-chain disruptions was the cause for most of the inflation (first covid, then Russia-Ukraine war). Then, a significant portion was from increased corporate profits (if you're being generous, you could say companies increased their margins due to future uncertainty). There's also a new trend of deniable price collusion (algorithmic collusion, such as what Amazon has been doing). M2 money supply has been decreasing for the last 1-1/2 years.

Poor banks :( The irresponsible poors need to do things the right way, and lobby congress to bail them out.

Yeah, I've worked on embedded systems (some projects involving automotive and heavy machinery), and the amount of penny-pinching they used when selecting components was pretty crazy. On one project I worked on, they didn't want to spend an extra 30 cents for a microcontroller with more flash, so we had to be very cognizant of every byte we used. Flash was so tight, our firmware would only fit if we used the highest optimization setting on the compiler (making debugging very difficult).

Nah, they're an incremental improvement. EVs are more efficient at turning energy into locomotion. They get >100 mpge. The increase in tire wear isn't nearly as significant the CO2 emissions. I'm pretty sure there are studies that show EVs are better for the environment as a whole than ICE vehicles (even accounting for things like lithium mining and fossil fuel powered grids).

Tesla is a horrible, anti-consumer company. A lot of companies make EVs now (but a lot of those companies are pretty horrible too, I guess).

Nah, I don't think that's common. A lot of men swipe right on every woman, get a match with something like 1% of those, get a chat response with 0.1%, arrange a date with 0.01%, and have 100% back out of the date. At least that was my experience for a couple months of using dating apps, lol.

Kinda irrelevant to this story. There should be no firearm in the same household as an abuser.

Maybe part of the reason is they're the most common dog?

The paper in the video linked showed German Shephards attacked the most people (all reported attacks, not just fatal).

Another problem is pitbulls aren't a well-defined breed with clear, "pure" bloodlines. There are a lot of different kinds of "pitbulls." Some pitbulls definitely are very aggressive, some are not at all.

I have a smaller pitbull (adopted from a shelter), and I've never seen her act aggressively toward a person. She is well behaved at dog parks and kennels with free-play with other dogs.

The simulations could be imperfect simulations. So, each nested simulation would lose fidelity, simulate a smaller universe, or simulate a universe with less life. I think one hypothesis I've heard is that wave functions are an approximation, and the simulation only fully simulates particles when they are observed. Kinda like how games do level-of-detail optimizations when you are further away from objects.

Edit: Another possibility is that nothing says the simulation we're in started at the beginning of the universe, it could've just been given initial conditions and started yesterday for all we know.

I don't know if we are in a simulation, but I think it's plausible. I think a God (at least of the religions I know of) is implausible, but possible. I kinda like the many-worlds hypothesis better than simulation theory, but I guess they're not exclusive.

Idk, it seems like a pretty big jump in addiction potential. I don't hear of too many people going into sex work to support their alcohol and cannabis habits.

I do support at least decriminalization of all drugs though. As long as it coincides with adequate education, harm reduction, and therapy resources.

I've heard it's cheaper if you mix with baking soda or something and smoke it.

I haven't tried using Macs. I've heard their GPUs are kinda slow (compared to high-end discrete GPU), but have unified memory so you can run very large models.

I bought 3090s because I needed to train a classifier. It took months of training 24/7, so it was cheaper to buy 3090s than pay for cloud compute time. A 3090 is probably overkill for just running SDXL (unless they release an even larger model in the future).

Reminded me of this: https://www.trojanbrands.com/en/products/sex-toys-vibrators/trojan-tandem-couples-vibrating-ring And Louis Rossmann's repair video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bv88A4vI960

I use ChatGPT premium almost every day, mostly for coding, rarely for image generation. $20/month. It can write/refactor decent (not great) code faster than me if I can type out what I want faster than just writing the code myself. Dalle-3 through ChatGPT produces pretty good images and seems to understand the prompts better than SD (ChatGPT actually writes the prompt for you, so that might have something to do with it). It's much better than Dalle-2, but they've put guardrails on it so you can't ask to do things like create images in the style of a modern artist.

I've messed around with Automatic1111 and SD a little bit. ControlNet is very nice for when you need to have control over the output. I would draw shitty outlines with Inkscape then used SD+ControlNet to kind of fill everything else in. Free and open source model and software. Ran it on a RTX 3090 which costed me $800 a year ago.

Messed around with DeepFloyd IF on replicate.ai for a while, which was very nice. It seemed to understand the prompts much better than SD. I think it was $2/hr, with each image generation using something like 30s of GPU time. Cold starts can take minutes though, which is annoying.

I use OpenAI's API in a prototype application; both GPT-4 and Dalle-3. GPT-4 is by far the most well-behaved and "knowledgeable" LLM, but all the guardrails put on it can be annoying. Dalle-3 is pretty good, but not sure if it's the best. The cost isn't significant yet while prototyping.

I get ads, news, and video recommendations served to me which probably uses some kind multi-armed bandit AI algorithm. Costs me my privacy. I don't like it; I rate it 0/10.

That article didn't seem to cite any studies or data and reads like an ad for something.

Wikipedia has a few good paragraphs with citations: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_mobility#Intergenerational_mobility Most relevant:

"39% of those who were born into the top quintile as children in 1968 are likely to stay there, and 23% end up in the fourth quintile.[4] Children previously from lower-income families had only a 1% chance of having an income that ranks in the top 5%.[6] On the other hand, the children of wealthy families have a 22% chance of reaching the top 5%."

Lol. Yeah, I don't consider myself a "prepper," and am not preparing for collapse, or any violence really. Just temporary supply chain disruptions so I don't have to rely on others, the government, and perhaps help my neighbors if they're desperate enough to want my rice, beans, pasta, and canned food :) I've built up a 3 month supply of food over a year or so by just buying double of everything that I need, and when I notice I'm getting low on something, I buy quite a bit more. Water is from rainwater harvesting barrels that I normally use for watering my landscape plants and gardens in the summer.

Create a lot of text files filled with offensive and false information. Maybe 4chan and OANN transcripts :)

It will always be a cat-and-mouse game. Once the trainers recognize the attack, they can use the attack to further improve their models. A long time ago I watched a speech from a guy who worked on Yahoo! Mail's spam detection. They realized spammers would create email accounts, send spam to them, then have the accounts mark their spam as "not spam." They came up with a method to automatically identify these accounts, and used them to further improve their spam detection model (if these accounts marked something as "not spam" it was likely spam).

Red states can, and likely will try something like that, but SCOTUS should reverse the decision if it violates the U.S. constitution. States have tried messing with who can and can't be on the ballot before, and SCOTUS used the equal protection clause of the 14th amendment saying you can't arbitrarily keep a person off the ballot. SCOTUS might do the same for Colorado and California since Trump has not been found guilty of anything involving an insurrection yet. But yeah, if SCOTUS goes full "state's rights," saying states can mess with elections however they want, the U.S. will likely become more like a confederacy of sovereign states. And I think states that currently have red governors or legislatures have more electoral votes and house seats than blue states, so we would have a perpetual Republican federal government.

It's not uncommon for people to be "willing come here to work for money," then get their paperwork held by their "employer", payed much less than they were promised, and forced to do labor under the risk of imprisonment and deportation (and, in some cases, such as those found during "Operation Blooming Onion, under gunpoint).

If they have no place to migrate back to, and they don't meet the overly stringent qualifications to be allowed asylum, why would we "really want to keep them out?" Right now, people are risking their lives to cross the southern border, so I assume they are extremely desperate (fleeing conditions they are unable to survive in and/or violence). The asylum courts in Texas often have toddlers (1/3 of asylum seekers are children) appear in court by themselves, without counsel, to try to defend themselves.

The biggest "issue" I see with immigration is that it's criminalized, which allows the horrible exploitation of their labor (whether farm, factory, construction, or sex work).

I wouldn't be surprised. He doesn't exactly have the strongest opponent. I like to look at prediction markets to get an idea of what the odds are, and it looks like the gamblers currently think there's only a 52% chance of a Democrat winning the presidency. But, it's really hard to tell what will happen right now. Trump, Biden, or both could die before the election. We may begin a recession. OPEC is cutting oil production, with some people hypothesizing it is to influence the U.S. election. Russia and other countries will likely ramp up disinformation like we've never seen before, powered by the new AI bots and deepfake technology.