12mo ago

Harris in ‘striking distance’ of Trump in Florida, pollster says

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Vice President Harris is nipping at former President Trump’s heels in his home state of Florida, a pollster from Suffolk University says after a new Sunshine State survey.

The USA Today/Suffolk University/WSVN-TV poll found Harris just 5 points behind Trump among likely Florida voters, 42 percent to 47 percent, just outside the poll’s margin of error.

Florida has a million more registered Republicans than Democrats, and Trump won the state in both 2016 and 2020.

“Given those circumstances, I was surprised that Harris is within striking distance, being only 5 points down,” David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, told USA Today in a Tuesday report.

16 comments

Florida turning blue would just be an epic finish to the Trump nightmare.
- Not to mention a huge slap in the face to DeSantis.
- Stop, I'm about to cream my pants
  
  No need to apologize, go right ahead.
- I approve this message
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I don't understand how florida can't go blue this cycle. The abortion ammendment needs +60% to pass. Let's say it gets 63%. Is 13% of the electorate going to say: "I support abortion rights, but I am still going to vote for the one that took them away over the one that made it the centerpiece of her campaign"
- Some people are willing to give the GOP power in order to cut their taxes (which is an empty promise to begin with), with the hope that other institutional forces prevent them from enacting all the other crazy shit they might not totally agree with.
  These people are called morons.
- Pardon my ignorance but why are you assuming that the abortion amendment is guaranteed to pass?
  
  That's the currently polled support % iirc. Not that it's a guaranteed pass, just that is where the support is currently at.
  Edit: yup, that's the polling
  https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/08/14/florida-abortion-amendment-poll/74766606007/
  Some polls show 55%, some 58%, some 63%. Unfortunately it will require 60% to pass, so we will see what happens.
  The annoying thing is those that are against have like half the support, the remaining percent are undecided/unaware.
POLLS ARE LIES.
At best they are the engine of somewhat plausible fictions.
Corporate news just slathers the word “polls” on any old thing and tosses it into the void where it is (hopefully) instantly seized on by hordes of ravenous clickers.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/florida/
DeSantis Looking at Notes: Okay I guess we need to purge the voter rolls again of any name that doesn't sound white!
It is so hard to win without Florida for Republicans. He could win PA, WI, GA. AZ, NV and still lose if he didn't win Florida.
But it's a moot point because Republicans don't lose FL outside of landslides anymore, happened for Obama 08 but not 2012 and the state has gotten redder since then.
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16 comments